Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.246386 1.469499 1.702071 1.961118 2.240192 2.530520 2.854141
2025-01-26 0.970027 1.290730 1.645070 2.059243 2.524311 3.025379 3.601276
2025-02-02 0.847123 1.224618 1.657938 2.179537 2.779323 3.438013 4.207299
2025-02-09 0.760031 1.184911 1.689301 2.311544 3.040839 3.853737 4.814701
2025-02-16 0.668895 1.124502 1.683247 2.388331 3.228874 4.177908 5.311406
2025-02-23 0.570427 1.041704 1.639968 2.412435 3.348752 4.419003 5.709672
2025-03-02 0.446988 0.909445 1.522506 2.335967 3.340971 4.505636 5.925097
2025-03-09 0.339025 0.783065 1.400919 2.244579 3.307181 4.555342 6.092138
2025-03-16 0.264432 0.694207 1.320605 2.198285 3.322354 4.657866 6.316160
2025-03-23 0.225316 0.655684 1.305669 2.233655 3.436243 4.876365 6.674881
2025-03-30 0.183454 0.605313 1.269384 2.237423 3.507980 5.042289 6.970043
2025-04-06 0.140230 0.543563 1.211086 2.207590 3.534102 5.150659 7.194990
2025-04-13 0.127078 0.541165 1.245780 2.310973 3.739289 5.488000 7.706702
2025-04-20 0.116783 0.543375 1.287778 2.425631 3.961026 5.848321 8.249536
2025-04-27 0.110510 0.552868 1.340343 2.554349 4.200388 6.229777 8.817198
2025-05-04 0.107544 0.569354 1.404021 2.698977 4.461001 6.638180 9.418283
2025-05-11 0.094863 0.560036 1.424850 2.782138 4.640746 6.946301 9.898342
2025-05-18 0.075442 0.528546 1.406955 2.808425 4.744676 7.159650 10.263381
2025-05-25 0.046282 0.457117 1.316141 2.725298 4.700836 7.186596 10.400496
2025-06-01 0.023617 0.386087 1.217966 2.625874 4.631147 7.177997 10.491609
2025-06-08 0.011511 0.338204 1.155447 2.575442 4.624104 7.245505 10.673016
2025-06-15 0.007159 0.322413 1.151877 2.613975 4.737890 7.466252 11.042836
2025-06-22 0.003039 0.296965 1.126974 2.618078 4.803432 7.624840 11.335571